Alcanzando los Objetivos de Desarrollo del Milenio en Guatemala: Modelos de Predicción y Costeo del Cumplimiento de los Objetimos del Milenio en Guatemala

We propose a systemic approach to MDG assessment, which aims at exploiting the existence of interrelations and sinergies among indicators via the integration of a macro scenarios model and a set of probabilistic microeconometric models. Given this integrated system and an explicit loss function for the policymaker, it is possible to identify the most cost-effective combination of policy interventions aimed